Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019

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Mayan Boar
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Re: Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019 2019/05/14 19:04:30 (permalink)
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El GC, that video was very disturbing in so many ways.  So glad I sold my ocean lot on the Tulum  beach road to Boca Pailla in 2017.  Devastating, and is, and will impact the locals and tourism.  Makes me very sad.  MB


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water baby
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Re: Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019 2019/05/15 15:06:24 (permalink)
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Bringing out the big guns-
 
post edited by water baby - 2019/05/15 15:11:59

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Mayan Boar
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Re: Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019 2019/05/15 19:45:25 (permalink)
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Water Baby, good to see the big guns.  Wow....just wow. MB


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tsherr
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Re: Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019 2019/05/18 06:48:42 (permalink)
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Thanks el gran chico.  Looks pretty grim to me.  I can't see the offending nations/people making any changes to the runoff anytime soon.
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water baby
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Re: Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019 2019/05/18 10:14:32 (permalink)
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The beach cleaning crew diving into the sea-
it appears as though they are dragging a net to shore.
post edited by water baby - 2019/05/18 10:15:37

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el gran chico
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Re: Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019 2019/06/01 10:17:18 (permalink)
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Latest monthly update from the University of South Florida researchers ....
 
In May 2019, the following regions continued to experience large amounts of Sargassum: Central West Atlantic (CWA), entire Caribbean Sea (CS), eastern Gulf of Mexico, northern Florida Straits, and waters off east coast of Florida. In addition to numerous reports of Sargassum beaching in the Caribbean, beaching events have also been reported along the southeast coast of Florida. In the CS, the amounts of Sargassum are comparable to the historical record in 2018 for the same month.
 
Looking ahead, because the amount of Sargassum in the CWA in May 2019 is lower than in May 2018, the amount of Sargassum transported from the CWA to the CS (i.e., “new” Sargassum to the CS) during June–July 2019 may be lower than in June-­July 2018. However, this transport will still be higher than most of the previous “Sargassum years” during the same month. Furthermore, because of the local growth and already large amount in the CS, the amount in the CS in June–July 2019 will continue to be high. Meanwhile, the transport to the Gulf of Mexico and east coast of Florida will continue, meaning that beaching events along the east coast of Florida will also continue. The exact Sargassum amount, timing, and location of the beaching will depend on local ocean circulations and winds.
 
For summer 2019, because of the high amounts of Sargassum in the CWA in May 2019, large amounts of Sargassum (comparable to the 2nd largest amount in summer 2015) in the CS and Gulf of Mexico are a high possibility. More updates will be provided by the end of June 2019.


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#31
AkumalVA
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Re: Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019 2019/06/05 11:33:51 (permalink)
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Oh wow, the images on today's web cam are such a surprising sight! does it look just the same in the little beach in front of Las Casitas? Wondering what the odds are of it being just as bad late September.
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TeriA
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Re: Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019 2019/06/13 23:51:32 (permalink)
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The sargassum does tend to pool in that area of the bay more than other parts, so, I would think the little beach in front of Las Casitas is just as bad.  I'm kind of hoping, and maybe this is wrong of me, but, if this continues, perhaps our once quiet little bay will return to a more peaceful atmosphere.  I can't imagine the snorkel tours are doing very well with all this smelly seaweed piled up and hanging on the surface of the water. It may get back to a more manageable number of people coming to the bay, more like it once was.  Still, that means businesses that cater to the tours will suffer, but, as most tour groups don't spend much money at the more local businesses, perhaps it will be better for those that have been there for the long haul.  I don't pretend to know what those groups do, but, from what I've been told, they are brought in buses, do their tour, and then are taken back in buses, probably shuttled to businesses paying a kickback to the tour operator to bring customers in, and then taken back to their resorts/cruise line drop off point.  If that's still the case, then, making it less profitable to bring groups to Akumal might just be for the best. 

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Re: Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019 2019/06/14 06:35:13 (permalink)
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Would love to hear from local businesses about that TeriA. Might be true.
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el gran chico
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Re: Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019 2019/07/18 06:19:14 (permalink)
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Here is the end of June 2019 report.   Summary - bad year this year but better than 2018.
 
In June 2019, the following regions continued to experience large amounts of Sargassum: Central West Atlantic (CWA), entire Caribbean Sea (CS), eastern Gulf of Mexico(GoM), northern Florida Straits, and waters off east coast of Florida. In addition to numerous reports of Sargassum beaching in the Caribbean, beaching events have also been reported along the southeast coast of Florida. In the CS, the amount is lower than historical record in 2018 for the same month, but higher than the second highest record year of 2015 for the same month. In all regions combined, the total amount is estimated to be > 10 million metric tons, slightly higher than in June 2015 but lower than in June 2018 (> 20 million tons). Looking ahead, because the amount of Sargassum in the CWA in June 2019 is higher than most previous years (except 2018), the transport of this amount to the CS is expected to be higher than most previous years, and possibly resemble the conditions in 2015. In general,the amount in the CS in July –August 2019 will continue to be high. Meanwhile, the transport to the GoM and east coast of Florida will continue, meaning that beaching events in the Florida Keys and along the east coast of Florida will also continue. The exact Sargassum amount, timing, and location of the beaching will depend on local ocean circulations and winds. For summer 2019, because of the high amounts of Sargassum in the CWA, CS, and GoM in June 2019, large amounts of Sargassum (comparable to the 2nd largest amount in summer 2015) in the CS and Gulf of Mexico are a high possibility.


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crunch
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Re: Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019 2019/07/18 06:23:58 (permalink)
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At least not as dire as it had been sounding.
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el gran chico
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Re: Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019 2019/08/21 14:49:16 (permalink)
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End of July 2019 report.   Just by occasionally watching the webcam 2019 looks way better than 2018.
 
The July 2019 situation is similar to June 2019 for all regions. Specifically, the following regions continued to experience large amounts of Sargassum: Central West Atlantic (CWA), entire Caribbean Sea (CS), eastern Gulf of Mexico (GoM), northern Florida Straits, and waters off east coast of Florida. In addition to numerous reports of Sargassum beaching in the Caribbean, beaching events have also been reported along the southeast coast of Florida. In the CS, the amount is lower than the historical record in 2018 for the same month, but higher than the second highest record year of 2015 for the same month. In all regions combined, the total amount is estimated to be > 10 million metric tons, similar to the amount in July 2015 (~11 million metric tons) but lower than in July 2018 (> 17 million tons). Looking ahead, because the amount of Sargassum in the CWA in July 2019 is higher than most previous years (except 2018 and 2015), the amount transported to the CS is expected to be higher than most previous years, and possibly resemble the conditions in 2015. In general, the amount in the CS in August and September 2019 will continue to be high. Meanwhile, the transport to the GoM and east coast of Florida will continue, meaning that beaching events in the Florida Keys and along the east coast of Florida will also continue. The exact Sargassum amount, timing, and location of the beaching will depend on local ocean circulations and winds. For October and later months of 2019, because the amount of Sargassum east of the CWA region has decreased since early July, it’s possible that beaching events in the CS and around south Florida may also reduce from of the current and previous months. Whether the decrease east of the CWA continues in August will be closely monitored, and more updates will be provided by the end of August 2019.


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