Hot!Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019

Author
el gran chico
Cooler Carrying Member
  • Total Posts : 755
  • Reward points: 1608
  • Joined: 2005/10/21 23:23:08
  • Location: Toronto, ON CANADA
  • Status: offline
2018/11/01 14:56:03 (permalink)
0

Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019

It appears the sargassum situation continues to improve.  Here's the USF SaWS report for the end of October 2018:
 
the month of Oct 2018 showed a total Sargassum coverage of 323 km2[font="verdana; font-size: 14px; font-weight: normal"] as compared with a historical mean of 103 km2[font="verdana; font-size: 14px; font-weight: normal"] between 2011 and 2017, for the area bounded by 8 - 23°N and 89 - 58°W. Although the bloom decreased rapidly in October, the bloom extent in 2018 is still the highest during 2011-2018 for the Caribbean and the central West Atlantic. 

 

 
Below in the month-over-month data I posted a while ago to give you an even bigger picture ....
 

It's definitely trending in the positive direction.   Still hoping it bottoms out at nothing or close to nothing.   The next couple of reports will tell us a lot where 2019 is heading.

Returning to Mexico Mar 12 to 19, 2019 [19th trip to MEX, 15x to RM (1998 to 2019), 9x to HMB (2006 to 2016)]
#1

8 Replies Related Threads

    dooleyrd
    Junior Member
    • Total Posts : 37
    • Reward points: 1757
    • Joined: 2012/01/13 08:18:02
    • Status: offline
    Re: Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019 2018/11/02 11:24:09 (permalink)
    0
    That definitely looks promising.  I hope it continues in that pattern.  I look forward to your next couple of reports. :) 
    #2
    9KrazyCats
    LocoGringo Customer
    • Total Posts : 1393
    • Reward points: 1711
    • Joined: 2008/10/02 23:25:26
    • Location: LM, Calif.
    • Status: offline
    Re: Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019 2018/11/02 22:14:43 (permalink)
    0
    Looked pretty bad on the webcam today. We did get an email from LG letting us know a new wave had come in.  Hopefully HMB isn't too bad.  We did survive our trip last time with it the piles of it. Yeah it stunk, but still so pretty against the blue water. 
    #3
    BJB
    LocoGringo Customer
    • Total Posts : 270
    • Reward points: 1842
    • Joined: 2007/08/27 10:22:10
    • Location: Oregon
    • Status: offline
    Re: Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019 2018/11/03 13:30:33 (permalink)
    0
    Curious..is the sargassum also heavy in the water?  Like, if you are snorkeling/swimming is it all around you?  Is the odor bad if you are sitting on the beach?
    post edited by BJB - 2018/11/03 13:32:47
    #4
    el gran chico
    Cooler Carrying Member
    • Total Posts : 755
    • Reward points: 1608
    • Joined: 2005/10/21 23:23:08
    • Location: Toronto, ON CANADA
    • Status: offline
    Re: Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019 2018/11/10 10:50:25 (permalink)
    0
    is the sargassum also heavy in the water? Like, if you are snorkeling/swimming is it all around you?  Is the odor bad if you are sitting on the beach?

     
    It was in June/July.  Less so to non-existent now.

    Returning to Mexico Mar 12 to 19, 2019 [19th trip to MEX, 15x to RM (1998 to 2019), 9x to HMB (2006 to 2016)]
    #5
    el gran chico
    Cooler Carrying Member
    • Total Posts : 755
    • Reward points: 1608
    • Joined: 2005/10/21 23:23:08
    • Location: Toronto, ON CANADA
    • Status: offline
    Re: Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019 2018/12/01 08:51:41 (permalink)
    0
    The end of November 2018 report from USF SaWS is much less optimistic.
     
    https://optics.marine.usf.edu/projects/SaWS/pdf/Sargassum_outlook_2018_bulletin11_USF.pdf
     
    In November 2018, the bloom intensity continued to decrease in the CS, but still comparable to the bloom extent in November 2015.  There is also significant amount of Sargassum abundance in the Central West Atlantic (CWA), which is similar to the situation in November 2017.

    Based on the these observations, we predict that the bloom intensity in the northern CS will continue to decrease in December, while more Sargassum may be transported from the CWA to the eastern CS in the following months.
    Most importantly, the large amount of Sargassum in the CWA represents an alarming signal for 2019, when the CS may experience large amount of Sargassum as early as January (similar to 2018).

     



    Returning to Mexico Mar 12 to 19, 2019 [19th trip to MEX, 15x to RM (1998 to 2019), 9x to HMB (2006 to 2016)]
    #6
    crunch
    Ultimate Member
    • Total Posts : 29018
    • Reward points: 1726
    • Joined: 2005/02/23 14:38:13
    • Location: Dreaming of my next vacation to paradise......
    • Status: offline
    Re: Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019 2018/12/01 17:10:20 (permalink)
    0
    Almost total lack of it when we were there last week
    #7
    el gran chico
    Cooler Carrying Member
    • Total Posts : 755
    • Reward points: 1608
    • Joined: 2005/10/21 23:23:08
    • Location: Toronto, ON CANADA
    • Status: offline
    Re: Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019 2018/12/02 10:04:49 (permalink)
    0
    You were lucky crunch.  The past few days have looked awful on the webcam.   And it doesn't look like 2019 will be any better than 2018 at this point.  It may turn out that late October to late November is the best time to avoid it.  Still more data points required to come to any sort of conclusion on this.

    Returning to Mexico Mar 12 to 19, 2019 [19th trip to MEX, 15x to RM (1998 to 2019), 9x to HMB (2006 to 2016)]
    #8
    crunch
    Ultimate Member
    • Total Posts : 29018
    • Reward points: 1726
    • Joined: 2005/02/23 14:38:13
    • Location: Dreaming of my next vacation to paradise......
    • Status: offline
    Re: Sargassum Outlook November 2018 into 2019 2018/12/02 17:24:03 (permalink)
    0
    Shhhhh. Don't tell!😁
    #9
    Jump to:
    © 2018 APG vNext Commercial Version 5.5